Evaluating Your Game – Win or Lose

2009 June 21
by phrankerCO

Quads vs Full House – What would you do??

Any good poker player who plays for ‘real’ will more than likely think that this post is absolutely obvious. However, I’m pretty sure that most players would never think of some of the things I want to share. This went down last night in a 1/3 NL home game I was playing in.

First off, the players in this game are all what I like to call ‘local semi-pros’. They play a lot. They are all pretty good for the most part and the majority of their play is in home games and local casinos, and some may even have jobs or careers or families. Obviously a little different then the local grinders in LV/CA or the ‘true pros’ or even internet players. I may fall into the same category, but I do like to think that I play on and am on a very different level – hell, I know I am. Either way, I started off on a bad note in a hand where this women was the sole caller on my UTG pre-flop raise of 5xBB. She flops a flush, while I flop top pair and 2nd nut flush draw. Of course I called her all the way down to find out that she had flopped a flush, with 26s?? No biggie, the luck boxes do have to win sometimes – hah.

However, onto the hand that I wanted to talk about. I had 44 in late position with roughly $500 behind and called a pre-flop raise of $15 from a player that was playing very loose and very aggressive (LAG) whom had me covered. The flop was 4 handed and came down 4A4 – quads! I was praying that someone, especially LAG raiser, was holding an Ace. Check to LAG raiser, who checks. Maybe the button had an Ace, so I check, but so does the button. I’m thinking – great, no one is holding an Ace and now I’m going to have to fire a bet on the turn just to get some value into the pot.
The turn was a rag 6. Again, check to LAG raiser and he finally fires a small bet of $15, which was a little uncommon of him. He had been betting big into raised pots almost every time, especially when C-betting. Right away it looked odd, but I thought it might be a stab/info bet with air so I didn’t want to raise here, thinking I might get the other 2 hands to call as well. Remember, he checked the flop – so I had already in my mind put him off the Ace and maybe he is just seeing if anyone hit at all – idk. Continuing with my line, I call and so did the button, first hand folds, leaving it 3 handed.
The river is another Ace. The perfect card I thought if one of them was holding an Ace – but remember, I was already off either of them having an Ace, so I figured if LAG raiser bets, I probably can only raise a small amount hoping for the call with a weak hand of medium pair or a 6. Again, I was sure neither had an Ace based on the previous streets check and small bet. Of course LAG raiser bet out again for $20 allowing me to finally make a raise. But, because I already had decided that my read was neither player having an Ace, I figured that the only raise that might get called is a small 2.5x raise to $50. Well… I was wrong, the button inst-folded and the LAG raiser inst-called holding an Ace-Ten suited?!?!

The reason I want to discuss this hand is because it has been on my mind for quite some time now and its because I wonder what I may have done different. The way that the LAG raiser snapped called my raise told me that he was trying to trap with his flopped Aces up, rivered Full House, and that he truly believed he had the nuts. Of course I did. And instead of trying to extract maximum value for the hand I was holding, I instead tried to extract maximum value from the hand that I thought he held. Here in lies the problem – did I extract max value? Was the line I took right? Should I have raised or bet on the previous streets? Or did I read to much in one direction, that I didn’t play my hand but was playing solely against what I thought my opponents held? What about an all-in raise on the river – does he still snap call?

Of course, hindsight is 20/20, and it seems pretty clear that he may have still snapped called a much bigger raise and I almost think he may have still snapped on an all-in. Even though I won the hand, I am torn over how much more I could have won in this hand. The game was already breaking up and within an orbit or two the game broke and I was dead even for the night. However, I did win or gain something, and that is the experience of this hand and if and when it comes up again, I am 100% positive that I will get as much if not the maximum value out of my opponents.

Day 15 & 16 at WSOP + Back Home

2009 June 15
by phrankerCO

Details soon…hung by pool, played cash games, broke even, flew home. Planning to go back out in a week or so…

Day 14 at WSOP

2009 June 12
by phrankerCO

I had planned on leaving today, but I spoke with the women that owns this place and she gave me an incredible deal for the weekend, so I’ll be home on Monday. Because of the late night, I didn’t wake up until 2pm. I went down to the pool for a little and then went to the store for some drinks/snacks. I ate some dinner and got a call from my friend that he was down in the MGM poker room. I met him down there around 8pm. I played for a little while, and then he had to pick his roommate up from the Rio after work around 9pm. I continued playing poker and ended up lossing a significant hand that I should have went broke on – my middle set vs his top set. I just knew it the way the betting went down on the flop, that I turned my hand face up and said "I think I need to fold". Luckly, the guy was cool and turned his hand up and let me surrender with only my 3 bets, roughly $300. After that hand, I couldn’t get any momentum going and lost the other $100 I started with and called it a night. My friends were just having a good time and blowing money on blackjack. I like to play blackjack as a means of wasting time and hanging out, but I never really win. So, I just hung around and threw a few bucks into slots every once in a while. Of course, another late night and got to bed around 6am again.

Bankroll Update: -$1250

Day 13 at WSOP

2009 June 11
by phrankerCO

Today started off terrible. I woke up and got to the Rio just in time for the start of Event #24, $1500 NLHE. I had the worst cards ever. Every time I got into a pot, or tried to get into a pot, a raising war would ensue and I’d have to duck for cover. At first I was getting annoyed, then I realized that everytime I got out of the way, it was the right move. It was one of those days where no matter what, the hand I got dealt just wasn’t going to win, either by the cards or making plays. I lost quick, before the 2nd break, so like within 3 hours or so.

I came back and just hung out for a while. Then later in the evening I hooked up with a friend that I went to college with that has been living out here for the last 6+ years. I stayed with him when I got stuck out here after Summer ‘03. We ended up meeting my other friends at MGM and partied all night. I did end up making close to $1000, which was a relief from the loss earlier today. Worst part/best part, I didn’t get home until 6am – lol

Bankroll Update: -$750

Day 12 at WSOP

2009 June 10
by phrankerCO

Again, I had to wake up early for work. I took care of what I needed to do and then went down to the pool for an hour. When I got back up to the room, I had some lunch and then ended up taking a nap until 4pm. By 6pm I was at the Rio grinding out the $175 SnGs. I played a total of 4. I pretty much went 3 for 4. The first one I ended up in 3rd place and got my money back. The second one I made it heads up. Again, these $175 SnGs pay a total of $1620. We got heads up and decided that we both get $500 each and we play it out for the $620 difference. I won!! I took $1000. The third one I played, we made a deal to give 3rd the $120 cash and we would do the same thing, $500 each and play for the odd $500. He had me 2-1, and he ultimately won. I got the $500. The forth sucked. I pushed AcQc all-in to get called by AA. Ouch. So, I pretty much went 3 for 4. Not bad.

I think I figured it out how I’m winning and its all because of Josh Auten. The last 4 days I have won except for yesterday. Yesterday was the only day out of the four that I hadn’t talked to Josh and had him rub his good luck budda dolls. So, guess what I’m going to do first thing tomorrow… call Josh and have him rub me some luck!! lol

I’m thinking about playing Event #24, $1500 NLHE, tomorrow at noon. Hardest part is being up in time. So, if I am, I just might be playing for a bracelet. haha

Bankroll Update: -$250

Day 11 at WSOP

2009 June 9
by phrankerCO

Damn… the bankroll took another hit tonight. I had it back up, but now its back down. I did the same thing thisĀ  morning as yesterday, woke up, did some work, then got some sun by the pool. Had some dinner and then went to the Rio. I played a $175 SnG and lost. Then I played a $340 nightly tourney, and lost. I went back to the SnG and played a $125. Luckily, I was able to convince them to give 3rd there buyin back, which is where I finished, 3rd. Then, for what ever reason, I decided to play some cash games. I sat at a 2/5NL game with $400. Within the first hour, this hand goes down. I am in the big blind with 92os. Its 3 way action. The flop comes up 929. Woohoo!! I check it, second guy checks, third guy bets $10. I figure if I just call, maybe I get second guy to stay in pot, which he does. Turn is 2. Damn. Now I know if another 9 is out there, we chop, but I’m praying third has the 2 for the worse full house. I check, second checks, third bets $50. I raise all-in, which is another ~$200. Second folds, and third insta calls with 98. Its a chop as of the turn, of course. However, you probably already know what the river brought, an 8. A fucking 8. Its the only card he wins with and it hits. FUCK!! So, grand total loss for the night is $900. Damn!!

Bankroll Update: -$1250

Day 10 at WSOP

2009 June 8
by phrankerCO

If you follow me on Twitter or Facebook, you know I spent the morning/afternoon by the pool, which I plan on doing tomorrow as well. After I got back from the pool, I had some lunch and took a nap. Woke up and made it to the Rio around 6pm. I was able to get 3 SnGs in by 11pm and then went for some dinner. The first I played was a $275 and I ended up running my KK into AA. What can ya do? The second and third were both $175, which pay $1620. The first $175 I ended up third, but I was able to convince the others while were 3 handed that we make sure 3rd gets there buy-in back. They went for it. haha. I wasn’t even close to chip leader, actually I think I was short stack. However, I did split the second $175 SnG for $810 each. When we got heads-up we had exactly the same amount of chips, exactly. I felt pretty confident I could beat this player, but why chance it. 50/50 was fine with me. So, total won minus buyins was $360 for the day. Meh, math is idiodic. lol

Bankroll Update: -$340